Did the first Christians expect the world to end?
Paul writes as though he will still be alive for it. Two generations later, somebody is answering people who noticed.
The question
Religions often make claims that cannot be checked. This one made what reads as a claim with a clock on it, in writing, and the time it seemed to allow ran out while the documents were still being written.
What the documents then did about that is visible inside the canon, which is unusual and worth watching.
Sources for the question:Source 3: Mark 13, World English Bible, eBible.org, public domainSource 4: 2 Peter 3, World English Bible, eBible.org, public domainSource 10: Pseudepigraphy and the Petrine school: Spirit and tradition in 1 and 2 Peter and Jude, Patrick Chatelion Counet, HTS Teologiese Studies 62(2), open accessSource 12: The question of Mark 13 as an apocalypse, Marius Nel, Verbum et Ecclesia 44(1), open access
Read this question as
Everything below, in the order it was written.
Showing every passage.
What the texts say, in order of writing
Known. Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.
Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.
Paul counts himself among the survivors
The text. What the biblical texts themselves state. That a text says something is a fact about the text, and separate from whether it describes an event.
Writing to Thessalonica, probably the earliest Christian text that survives, Paul says "we who are alive, who are left until the coming of the Lord, will in no way precede those who have fallen asleep", and then describes the descent, the trumpet and being caught up in the clouds.
The first person is the part that matters. He is not describing a distant event for other people; he puts himself in the group that will still be here.
To Corinth he writes that "the time is short", and advises accordingly: those who have wives should live as though they had none, and those who weep as though they did not.
6 sources for this passage. Show them.
- 1 Thessalonians 4, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- 1 Corinthians 7, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- Is rewritten Bible/Scripture the solution to the Synoptic Problem?Gert J. Malan, HTS Teologiese Studies 70(1), open access · 2014
- Christ’s crucifixion as a medico-historical eventF. P. Retief and L. Cilliers, Acta Theologica 26(2), open access · 2006
- The obedience of the church as a prelude to the Parousia: Ecclesial and temporal factors in New Testament eschatologyPaul Bruce Hartwig, Verbum et Ecclesia 26(2), open access · 2005
- 1 Corinthians 7:17–24. Identity and human dignity amidst power and liminalityJeremy Punt, Verbum et Ecclesia 33(1), open access · 2012
The Gospels have a sentence with a deadline in it
The text. What the biblical texts themselves state. That a text says something is a fact about the text, and separate from whether it describes an event.
Mark has Jesus say, after describing the end, "this generation will not pass away until all these things happen".
The translation being quoted here footnotes the word rendered generation, noting it could also be rendered race, family or people. That footnote is more than a piece of lexicography. It is one side of the argument, in a margin.
3 sources for this passage. Show them.
A later letter answers people asking what happened
The text. What the biblical texts themselves state. That a text says something is a fact about the text, and separate from whether it describes an event.
2 Peter, among the latest books in the New Testament, quotes the objection directly: "Where is the promise of his coming? For, from the day that the fathers fell asleep, all things continue as they were from the beginning of the creation."
The answer given is that "one day is with the Lord as a thousand years", and that what looks like slowness is patience.
The significant thing is not the answer. It is that the question was being asked loudly enough, around the turn of the second century, for a book to be written that addresses it.
3 sources for this passage. Show them.
- 2 Peter 3, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- Pseudepigraphy and the Petrine school: Spirit and tradition in 1 and 2 Peter and JudePatrick Chatelion Counet, HTS Teologiese Studies 62(2), open access · 2006
- Christ’s crucifixion as a medico-historical eventF. P. Retief and L. Cilliers, Acta Theologica 26(2), open access · 2006
The objection is quoted inside the book that answers it.
What to make of it
Uncertain. Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.
Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.
Whether the expectation was a mistake
Scholarship. A reading or reconstruction argued among the people who work on it, where the evidence allows more than one conclusion.
One position takes the plain sense: the earliest Christians expected the end within their lifetimes, and they were wrong about the timing. On this reading 2 Peter is the movement absorbing a failed prediction, which movements do, and it is notable mainly for doing it inside its own scripture.
Another position holds that the language is drawn from a Jewish prophetic idiom in which imminence is a way of speaking about certainty and demand rather than about dates, and that reading it as a schedule is a modern category error.
A third holds that something did happen within that generation, and points at the destruction of the temple in 70.
4 sources for this passage. Show them.
- An Imminent Parousia and Christian Mission: Did the New Testament Writers Really Expect Jesus’s Imminent Return?Mark Keown, Brill · 2018
- The obedience of the church as a prelude to the Parousia: Ecclesial and temporal factors in New Testament eschatologyPaul Bruce Hartwig, Verbum et Ecclesia 26(2), open access · 2005
- The question of Mark 13 as an apocalypseMarius Nel, Verbum et Ecclesia 44(1), open access · 2023
- When Prophecy Fails and Faith Persists: A Theoretical OverviewLorne L. Dawson, Nova Religio 3, pages 60 to 82 · 1999
What it changed
Scholarship. A reading or reconstruction argued among the people who work on it, where the evidence allows more than one conclusion.
A movement that expects the world to end shortly has little reason to build institutions, to plan for centuries, or to reform the arrangements around it. One that has settled in has every reason to do all three.
How much of the shift from the first thing to the second the delay explains is argued. One line of scholarship counts the fading of the end as the focus of faith among the marks of an early Catholicism in the latest New Testament letters; another explains the first fixed offices as a defence against false teaching. The chapter cited here asks a prior question, whether the New Testament writers really expected an imminent return, and ties it to mission. This page does not report its answer, because it could not read it.
4 sources for this passage. Show them.
- An Imminent Parousia and Christian Mission: Did the New Testament Writers Really Expect Jesus’s Imminent Return?Mark Keown, Brill · 2018
- Pseudepigraphy and the Petrine school: Spirit and tradition in 1 and 2 Peter and JudePatrick Chatelion Counet, HTS Teologiese Studies 62(2), open access · 2006
- Early Catholicism and the organisational structure of the United Methodist Church in ZimbabweEdward Mashero and Ernest van Eck, Theologia Viatorum 45(1), open access · 2021
- 1 Corinthians 7:17–24. Identity and human dignity amidst power and liminalityJeremy Punt, Verbum et Ecclesia 33(1), open access · 2012
How literally they read it
Unknown. Humanity does not currently have a satisfactory answer.
Humanity does not currently have a satisfactory answer.
What they thought they were waiting for
Open. A question no research, historical or scientific or theological, has resolved to general agreement.
The imagery is borrowed from an apocalyptic literature with its own conventions, and nobody now can say with confidence how literally a first-century reader took a trumpet and a descent through clouds.
That is not a convenient escape. It is a genuine limit, and it cuts both ways: it also means a confident claim that they expected a literal timetable is a claim about how they read metaphor, which is not recoverable.
Nineteen centuries of waiting
Possible. A hypothesis or interpretation worth examining, but not an established fact.
A hypothesis or interpretation worth examining, but not an established fact.
What the tradition does with the wait
Belief. A claim of faith about God, salvation, revelation or the resurrection. Held by Christians as true; not the kind of claim historical method is able to settle either way.
Christianity still holds that this age ends and that Christ returns, and has held it through nineteen centuries of not happening. The creeds keep it. The Catholic eucharist still prays for it, as the Didache already did: Maranatha, "Our Lord, come!"
Augustine already called date-setting vain, citing "It is not for you to know the times", and the Catholic catechism calls the return imminent in the same sentence in which it refuses to date it. The catechism calls the present "a time of waiting and watching", in which that coming "could be accomplished at any moment".
6 sources for this passage. Show them.
- The First Council of Constantinople: the creed of 381 and its canonsNicene and Post-Nicene Fathers series II volume 14, New Advent · 381
- Catechism of the Catholic Church, paragraphs 668 to 677: He will come again in gloryHoly See
- The Didache, or The Teaching of the Twelve ApostlesAnte-Nicene Fathers volume 7, New Advent
- Augustine, The City of God, Book 18Nicene and Post-Nicene Fathers series I volume 2, tr. Marcus Dods, New Advent
- 1 Thessalonians 4, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- Is rewritten Bible/Scripture the solution to the Synoptic Problem?Gert J. Malan, HTS Teologiese Studies 70(1), open access · 2014
The groups that kept setting dates
Traditions differ. A point on which Catholic, Orthodox and Protestant traditions teach differently, described without picking between them.
Naming the year is old. Augustine knew of people who put the final coming four hundred, five hundred or a thousand years after the ascension, and others have named dates since, among them the Millerites of nineteenth-century America. What happens to a movement when its year passes has a literature of its own, and the overview cited here is titled for the case it studies: prophecy fails and faith persists.
2 Peter makes a milder version of the same move, with no year to explain: the hope stays, and the wait is rethought. The pattern is about as old as the texts.
4 sources for this passage. Show them.
- When Prophecy Fails and Faith Persists: A Theoretical OverviewLorne L. Dawson, Nova Religio 3, pages 60 to 82 · 1999
- Augustine, The City of God, Book 18Nicene and Post-Nicene Fathers series I volume 2, tr. Marcus Dods, New Advent
- When Rituals Fail: Rationalization, Bayesianism, and Predictive ProcessingZe Hong, Evolutionary Anthropology 34(4), open access · 2025
- 2 Peter 3, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
The evidence
Primary research, scientific institutions and archives. Links open at the publisher.
- 1 Thessalonians 4, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- 1 Corinthians 7, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- Mark 13, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- 2 Peter 3, World English BibleeBible.org, public domain
- When Prophecy Fails and Faith Persists: A Theoretical OverviewLorne L. Dawson, Nova Religio 3, pages 60 to 82 · 1999
- When Rituals Fail: Rationalization, Bayesianism, and Predictive ProcessingZe Hong, Evolutionary Anthropology 34(4), open access · 2025
- An Imminent Parousia and Christian Mission: Did the New Testament Writers Really Expect Jesus’s Imminent Return?Mark Keown, Brill · 2018
- Is rewritten Bible/Scripture the solution to the Synoptic Problem?Gert J. Malan, HTS Teologiese Studies 70(1), open access · 2014
- Christ’s crucifixion as a medico-historical eventF. P. Retief and L. Cilliers, Acta Theologica 26(2), open access · 2006
- Pseudepigraphy and the Petrine school: Spirit and tradition in 1 and 2 Peter and JudePatrick Chatelion Counet, HTS Teologiese Studies 62(2), open access · 2006
- The obedience of the church as a prelude to the Parousia: Ecclesial and temporal factors in New Testament eschatologyPaul Bruce Hartwig, Verbum et Ecclesia 26(2), open access · 2005
- The question of Mark 13 as an apocalypseMarius Nel, Verbum et Ecclesia 44(1), open access · 2023
- 1 Corinthians 7:17–24. Identity and human dignity amidst power and liminalityJeremy Punt, Verbum et Ecclesia 33(1), open access · 2012
- Early Catholicism and the organisational structure of the United Methodist Church in ZimbabweEdward Mashero and Ernest van Eck, Theologia Viatorum 45(1), open access · 2021
- The First Council of Constantinople: the creed of 381 and its canonsNicene and Post-Nicene Fathers series II volume 14, New Advent · 381
- Catechism of the Catholic Church, paragraphs 668 to 677: He will come again in gloryHoly See
- The Didache, or The Teaching of the Twelve ApostlesAnte-Nicene Fathers volume 7, New Advent
- Augustine, The City of God, Book 18Nicene and Post-Nicene Fathers series I volume 2, tr. Marcus Dods, New Advent
The questions that do not close
Where history stops being the right instrument, and says so rather than guessing.
02 of 10This question is stop 2 of 10 on The questions that do not close, a route through the Ocean of Faith.Where this question leads
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- Ocean of FaithWhat happens when you die?Shared ground: christianity.Unknowndepth, meaning: Questions where we may not even know what an answer would look like if we found one.Read
- Ocean of FaithCould a miracle ever be evidence?Shared ground: christianity.Abyssdepth, meaning: Fundamental questions where our understanding is extremely limited.Read