What killed the dinosaurs?
An asteroid hit, and lava was flooding across much of India in the same interval. Sorting out which did what is still work.
The question
Three quarters of species disappear at a single horizon in the rock, 66 million years ago, and the horizon is thin.
For a long time the problem was finding one cause big enough. The current problem is that there are two, and they overlap.
What is established
Known. Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.
Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.
The impact happened and it was enormous
A crater 180 to 200 kilometres across lies buried at the northern edge of the Yucatán peninsula, its centre just off the coast. Its age matches the boundary layer to within the resolution of the dating.
The boundary clay itself carries the signature worldwide: an excess of iridium, the anomaly that first pointed to an asteroid, shocked quartz, and glass droplets that were molten rock thrown into the air.
A review by forty-one researchers in 2010 concluded that the impact triggered the extinction, and that the pattern of who died agrees with what its modelled effects, darkness, cooling and the collapse of photosynthesis in the ocean, would do.
The event
- Crater diameter
- 180 to 200 kmCrater diameterBuried under later limestone. At the surface it shows only as a shallow trough and an arc of sinkholes.
- Years ago
- 66 millionYears agoImpact and boundary layer agree within the resolution of the best dating available.
- Of species lost
- ~76%Of species lostForty per cent of genera. The fossil record is counted mostly in genera and larger groups, so the species figure is the softer number. Including every dinosaur that was not a bird, and more than nine in ten species of two main groups of chalky plankton.

6 sources for this passage. Show them.
- The Chicxulub Asteroid Impact and Mass Extinction at the Cretaceous-Paleogene BoundarySchulte and others, Science · March 2010
- State shift in Deccan volcanism at the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary, possibly induced by impactRenne and others, Science · October 2015
- Has the Earth's sixth mass extinction already arrived?Barnosky and others, Nature · March 2011
- Shaded Relief with Height as Color and Landsat, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico (PIA03381)NASA/JPL Photojournal · 2003
- Mass Extinctions Through Geologic TimeU.S. National Park Service
- On impact and volcanism across the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundaryHull and others, Science · January 2020
The volcanism was also happening
The Deccan Traps in India poured out between half a million and one and a half million cubic kilometres of lava across the same interval, depending on the estimate, releasing carbon dioxide and sulphur on a scale that affects climate.
Dating published in 2015 found that the eruptions changed character close to the boundary, shifting to fewer and larger flows within about fifty thousand years of the impact, and proposed that seismic energy from the impact may have provoked the change.
So the two need not be independent candidates competing for the blame. They may be one sequence.
3 sources for this passage. Show them.
- State shift in Deccan volcanism at the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary, possibly induced by impactRenne and others, Science · October 2015
- On impact and volcanism across the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundaryHull and others, Science · January 2020
- Spatio-temporal volume recalibration shows Deccan volcanism caused Terminal Cretaceous Mass ExtinctionKale and others, Geological Society of America Bulletin · November 2025
Two catastrophes at the same horizon is a harder problem than none.
What is still argued
Uncertain. Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.
Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.
How much the eruptions contributed
A 2020 analysis of climate records across the boundary found warming consistent with Deccan carbon release before the impact, and concluded that the extinction itself tracks the impact rather than the volcanism.
Others read the volcanism as the setup. A 2015 review of the dinosaur record allowed that Deccan climate change may have left communities less able to absorb the impact, and a 2025 recalculation of the lava volumes put about seventy per cent of the lava before the boundary and argued that their gases set the stage for the extinction. The dating precision needed to settle this is at the edge of what the methods deliver.
Where the disagreement actually is
Agreed
Known. Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.
- A large asteroid struck at the boundary
- The Deccan Traps were erupting across the same interval
- The impact markers sit at the extinction horizon itself
Argued
Uncertain. Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.
- Whether the impact alone accounts for the extinction pattern
- Whether the volcanism had already weakened ecosystems
- Whether the impact altered the eruptions
- How much of the boundary warming belongs to which cause
4 sources for this passage. Show them.
- On impact and volcanism across the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundaryHull and others, Science · January 2020
- State shift in Deccan volcanism at the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary, possibly induced by impactRenne and others, Science · October 2015
- The extinction of the dinosaursBrusatte and others, Biological Reviews · May 2015
- Spatio-temporal volume recalibration shows Deccan volcanism caused Terminal Cretaceous Mass ExtinctionKale and others, Geological Society of America Bulletin · November 2025
Why some lineages survived
Birds are dinosaurs, and only one branch of them, the lineage of modern birds, came through. Many lizards, snakes and crocodile relatives died too. Freshwater amphibians and turtles lost less, and every group of mammals was hit hard.
Among mammals, the larger-bodied and the specialised feeders fared worst, and life in fresh water appears to have helped. One explanation offered for the freshwater advantage is food chains running on detritus rather than on sunlight.
The pattern is suggestive rather than explained. A 2015 review listed why certain birds survived, while many bird-like feathered dinosaurs died, among the questions for the decade ahead.
The evidence
Primary research, scientific institutions and archives. Links open at the publisher.
- The Chicxulub Asteroid Impact and Mass Extinction at the Cretaceous-Paleogene BoundarySchulte and others, Science · March 2010
- State shift in Deccan volcanism at the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundary, possibly induced by impactRenne and others, Science · October 2015
- The extinction of the dinosaursBrusatte and others, Biological Reviews · May 2015
- Has the Earth's sixth mass extinction already arrived?Barnosky and others, Nature · March 2011
- On impact and volcanism across the Cretaceous-Paleogene boundaryHull and others, Science · January 2020
- Spatio-temporal volume recalibration shows Deccan volcanism caused Terminal Cretaceous Mass ExtinctionKale and others, Geological Society of America Bulletin · November 2025
- Shaded Relief with Height as Color and Landsat, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico (PIA03381)NASA/JPL Photojournal · 2003
- Mass Extinctions Through Geologic TimeU.S. National Park Service
The planet’s bad days
Ice at the equator, a mass extinction, the rhythm of the ice ages, two thresholds that may already be behind us, and the layer we are leaving.
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