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What killed the dinosaurs?

An asteroid hit, and lava was flooding across much of India in the same interval. Sorting out which did what is still work.

Surfacedepth, meaning: Things we understand reasonably well.Known. Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.Inspect the question
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The question

Three quarters of species disappear at a single horizon in the rock, 66 million years ago, and the horizon is thin.

For a long time the problem was finding one cause big enough. The current problem is that there are two, and they overlap.

What is established

Known. Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.

Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.

The impact happened and it was enormous

A crater 180 to 200 kilometres across lies buried at the northern edge of the Yucatán peninsula, its centre just off the coast. Its age matches the boundary layer to within the resolution of the dating.

The boundary clay itself carries the signature worldwide: an excess of iridium, the anomaly that first pointed to an asteroid, shocked quartz, and glass droplets that were molten rock thrown into the air.

A review by forty-one researchers in 2010 concluded that the impact triggered the extinction, and that the pattern of who died agrees with what its modelled effects, darkness, cooling and the collapse of photosynthesis in the ocean, would do.

The event

Crater diameter
180 to 200 kmCrater diameterBuried under later limestone. At the surface it shows only as a shallow trough and an arc of sinkholes.
Years ago
66 millionYears agoImpact and boundary layer agree within the resolution of the best dating available.
Of species lost
~76%Of species lostForty per cent of genera. The fossil record is counted mostly in genera and larger groups, so the species figure is the softer number. Including every dinosaur that was not a bird, and more than nine in ten species of two main groups of chalky plankton.
A shaded relief map of a flat coastal peninsula. A faint semicircular arc of depressions curves through the terrain inland from the coast.
The northwest corner of the Yucatán peninsula, from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission elevation data. The shallow trough and the sinkholes that trace the buried crater rim are how Chicxulub shows at the surface.NASA/JPL, NASA Image and Video Library, 2003. Public domain

The volcanism was also happening

The Deccan Traps in India poured out between half a million and one and a half million cubic kilometres of lava across the same interval, depending on the estimate, releasing carbon dioxide and sulphur on a scale that affects climate.

Dating published in 2015 found that the eruptions changed character close to the boundary, shifting to fewer and larger flows within about fifty thousand years of the impact, and proposed that seismic energy from the impact may have provoked the change.

So the two need not be independent candidates competing for the blame. They may be one sequence.

Two catastrophes at the same horizon is a harder problem than none.

What is still argued

Uncertain. Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.

Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.

How much the eruptions contributed

A 2020 analysis of climate records across the boundary found warming consistent with Deccan carbon release before the impact, and concluded that the extinction itself tracks the impact rather than the volcanism.

Others read the volcanism as the setup. A 2015 review of the dinosaur record allowed that Deccan climate change may have left communities less able to absorb the impact, and a 2025 recalculation of the lava volumes put about seventy per cent of the lava before the boundary and argued that their gases set the stage for the extinction. The dating precision needed to settle this is at the edge of what the methods deliver.

Where the disagreement actually is

Agreed

Known. Strongly supported by evidence and broadly established.

  • A large asteroid struck at the boundary
  • The Deccan Traps were erupting across the same interval
  • The impact markers sit at the extinction horizon itself

Argued

Uncertain. Meaningful scientific, historical or philosophical disagreement remains.

  • Whether the impact alone accounts for the extinction pattern
  • Whether the volcanism had already weakened ecosystems
  • Whether the impact altered the eruptions
  • How much of the boundary warming belongs to which cause

Why some lineages survived

Birds are dinosaurs, and only one branch of them, the lineage of modern birds, came through. Many lizards, snakes and crocodile relatives died too. Freshwater amphibians and turtles lost less, and every group of mammals was hit hard.

Among mammals, the larger-bodied and the specialised feeders fared worst, and life in fresh water appears to have helped. One explanation offered for the freshwater advantage is food chains running on detritus rather than on sunlight.

The pattern is suggestive rather than explained. A 2015 review listed why certain birds survived, while many bird-like feathered dinosaurs died, among the questions for the decade ahead.

On a route

The planet’s bad days

Ice at the equator, a mass extinction, the rhythm of the ice ages, two thresholds that may already be behind us, and the layer we are leaving.

02 of 06This question is stop 2 of 6 on The planet’s bad days, a route through the Ocean of Earth.
The currents

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