Evidence record
Is anything truly random?
Every sentence on the exploration belongs to at least one claim below. Each says what kind of statement it is, what it rests on, what the evidence does not establish, and how far it was checked. Nothing here is a score, and none of it is a verdict on a belief or a theory.
Last checked 24 September 2026.
- Partly checked: 2
- Source checked: 31
- A judgement, not a fact: 5
- Presented as open: 1
If something here is wrong, misquoted, out of date or unfair, write to support@unknownoceans.com and give the claim number, which does not change.
What the question takes for granted
A physics question with an experimental half and an interpretive half. Experiments can certify that numbers were unpredictable, given stated assumptions; whether anything is undetermined in principle depends on the interpretation of quantum mechanics, which experiments have not settled.
Everyday randomness comes from deterministic physics nobody can track
Established
The standard physical models of coin flips and die throws are deterministic, and the unpredictability comes from small differences in how each throw starts.
Measurement settings can be chosen independently of what is being measured
Contested
Every Bell test and every certification of randomness from one needs it. The 2018 paper calls it ultimately untestable, and the Stanford Encyclopedia reports that rejecting it (superdeterminism, retrocausality) has gained advocates.
Some quantum outcomes are undetermined, not just unknown
Open
Interpretations of quantum mechanics disagree about it, and the Stanford Encyclopedia reports that none of the major approaches is favoured in a straightforward way by the evidence.
How the question is labelled
Claim: Certified unpredictable
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
Claim: Randomness
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
The question
Claim: A dice roll is only unpredictable because you cannot see the details.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Partly checked. Only part of the source could be read. What was not read is listed.
Supports
The three-dimensional dynamics of the die throwabstract
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Abstract only, 24 September 2026 · A simulation · Model
The source reads: We argue that non-smoothness of the system plays a key role in the occurrence of dynamical uncertainties and gives the explanation why for practically small uncertainties in the initial conditions a mechanical randomizer approximates the random process.
Qualifies
The three-dimensional dynamics of the die throwabstract
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Abstract only, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: Numerical results have been compared with the experimental observation using high speed camera. It is shown that for the realistic values of the initial energy the probabilities of the die landing on the face which is the lowest one at the beginning is larger
What this does not establish
Supported by the abstract of one mechanical model of a die throw, checked against high-speed video; the article itself was not read. The same abstract reports that a die favours the face that started lowest, so the details leave a trace.
Claim 3 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Quantum measurement may be different
- Kind
- Hypothesis. A proposed explanation, not an established one.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsQuestion 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Research in people · Observational study: associations, not causes
The source reads: The randomness is irreducible: 48%
A poll of 33 participants at one 2011 conference on quantum foundations.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: We thus enlisted an experimental result that fundamentally challenges the notion of determinism to build a system that can increase trust in random sources.
What this does not establish
Stated as a possibility, which is how the sources treat it. The poll is a snapshot of one conference and says it cannot claim to represent the field.
Claim 4 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: and there is now an experiment that certifies unpredictable bits without a model of the device that made them.
- Kind
- Experimental result. What an experiment or trial found, under its own conditions. A result in animals, cells or a simulation is not a result in people.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: a detailed model describing the underlying physics is required to assert unpredictability. Such a model must make a number of assumptions that may not be valid, thereby compromising the integrity of the device.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: These random bits could not have been predicted within any physical theory that prohibits superluminal signaling and allows one to make independent measurement choices
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: Since the assumptions do not constrain the specific physical realization of the devices and do not require specific states or measurements, they implement a “device-independent” framework
What this does not establish
Certified under stated assumptions: independent measurement settings, no signalling between the stations, and trusted timing electronics and computers.
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2018 on, "device-independent randomness generation" and "certified randomness Bell test": later photonic experiments extend the method (Shalm and others, Nature Physics 2021; Kavuri and others, Nature 2025), records only; nothing that revises the 2018 result.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “without trusting the device that made them” The paper trusts its timing electronics and classical computers, and assumes independent settings. What it does without is a model of the physics inside the devices, which is the contrast it draws with ordinary generators.
Claim 5 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Classical randomness is ignorance about details.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: evidence from 350,757 flipsIntroduction, p. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Theory · Model
The source reads: According to the standard model of coin flipping ... the flip is a deterministic process and the perceived randomness originates from small fluctuations in the initial conditions
Context
The three-dimensional dynamics of the die throwabstract
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Abstract only, 24 September 2026 · A simulation · Model
The source reads: for practically small uncertainties in the initial conditions a mechanical randomizer approximates the random process
What this does not establish
The sources model coins and dice. The page generalises from these mechanical randomisers to classical randomness.
Claim 6 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Quantum randomness appears to be different in kind,
- Kind
- This page’s reading. A judgement the page makes from the evidence. Others read it differently.
- Review
- A judgement, not a fact. Reviewed for whether it is fairly put and follows from the checked claims. No source can confirm it.
Hedged as an appearance. In one poll of foundations researchers, 64 per cent called randomness a fundamental concept in nature; the uncertain section reports the interpretations that disagree.
Context
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsQuestion 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Research in people · Observational study: associations, not causes
The source reads: Randomness is a fundamental concept in nature: 64%
Claim 7 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: and a 2018 experiment generated bits that no theory forbidding faster-than-light signals could have predicted, provided the measurement choices were made independently of the devices.
- Kind
- Experimental result. What an experiment or trial found, under its own conditions. A result in animals, cells or a simulation is not a result in people.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: These random bits could not have been predicted within any physical theory that prohibits superluminal signaling and allows one to make independent measurement choices.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: the choices of measurement settings are independent of the experimental devices and pre-existing classical information about them
What this does not establish
One experiment. The certification holds under its assumptions, which the uncertain section lists.
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2018 on, "device-independent randomness generation": later experiments (Shalm and others 2021; Kavuri and others 2025) repeat the approach, records only; nothing that changes this result.
Claim 8 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: The physics inside the devices is not assumed; the timing electronics and computers around them are trusted.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: given our trust that the space-like separation of the relevant events in the experiment is accurately verified by the timing electronics and that results are final when recorded. We also trust that the classical computing equipment used to process the data operates according to specification.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: Since the assumptions do not constrain the specific physical realization of the devices
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 3
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: If Eve has quantum memory, it is possible to ensure that Eve’s side information is effectively classical by verifying that the devices have no long-term quantum memory of past interactions with Eve. While this introduces weak device-dependence
What this does not establish
If an adversary has quantum memory, the paper also relies on checking that the devices keep no long-term quantum memory, which it calls weak device-dependence.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “Nothing about the apparatus itself is assumed.” The paper assumes nothing about how the devices are physically built, but states that it trusts the timing electronics, the finality of recorded results and the classical computers. Those are apparatus.
Claim 9 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: A coin toss or a dice roll is a deterministic process you cannot track: the spin, the table, the tremor in a hand.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Partly checked. Only part of the source could be read. What was not read is listed.
Supports
Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: evidence from 350,757 flipsIntroduction, p. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Theory · Model
The source reads: the flip is a deterministic process and the perceived randomness originates from small fluctuations in the initial conditions (regarding starting position, configuration, upward force, and angular momentum)
Supports
The three-dimensional dynamics of the die throwabstract
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Abstract only, 24 September 2026 · A simulation · Model
The source reads: A three-dimensional model of a die throw which considers the die bounces with dissipation on the fixed and oscillating table has been formulated.
Context
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: For a random number generator based on a physical process, such as a noisy classical system or an elementary quantum measurement
What this does not establish
The die-throw paper was read only as an abstract. Both are models of ordinary mechanical randomisers, not of every source of randomness.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “Every everyday source of randomness is a deterministic process you cannot track: the air, the table, the tremor in a hand.” The sources model coins and dice, not every everyday source of randomness, and the 2018 paper counts generators built on an elementary quantum measurement among physical sources. Neither source names the air; the coin model names angular momentum and the die model the table.
Claim 10 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: The question is whether there is anything left when you take the ignorance away.
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
What can be shown
Claim: What can be shown
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
Randomness can be certified rather than assumed
Claim: Randomness can be certified rather than assumed
- Kind
- Experimental result. What an experiment or trial found, under its own conditions. A result in animals, cells or a simulation is not a result in people.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: if the measurement data violates conditions known as “Bell inequalities,” then the data can be certified to contain randomness under weak assumptions.
What this does not establish
Certified given the assumptions the page lists under "What certification actually assumes".
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2018 on, "certified randomness Bell test": further device-independent generators reported (Nature Physics 2021, Nature 2025), records only; nothing that revises it.
Claim 13 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: The usual problem with a random number generator is that you have to trust it.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: A key challenge with random number generators is that it is hard to ensure that their outputs are unpredictable
Claim 14 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: A device could be producing a pattern nobody has noticed, or one somebody built in.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: Such a model must make a number of assumptions that may not be valid, thereby compromising the integrity of the device.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsMethods, p. 9
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: such as if the photon pair source or measurement devices are obtained from an untrusted provider
Claim 15 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Bell tests provide a way out.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: it is possible to exploit the phenomenon of quantum nonlocality with a loophole-free Bell test to build a random number generator that can produce output that is unpredictable to any adversary limited only by general physical principles
Claim 16 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: If the two measurement stations are far enough apart that nothing travelling at light speed could pass between them in time, and the settings are chosen independently of the devices, correlations that violate the inequality cannot come from a device whose outputs were fixed in advance, so the violation itself certifies that they were not, and it certifies it without any assumption about what is inside the box.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsMethods, p. 8
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: Bob completed his measurement (294.4± 3.7) ns before a hypothetical switching signal travelling at light speed from Alice’s Pockels cell could arrive at his station.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalspp. 3-4
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Theory · Model
The source reads: LR distributions, which cannot be certified to contain randomness, are those for which ... Our space-like separation of settings and remote measurements provide assurance that the experiment obeys Eqs. 3.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: The bits are unpredictable assuming that (1) the choices of measurement settings are independent of the experimental devices ... Since the assumptions do not constrain the specific physical realization of the devices and do not require specific states or measurements
What this does not establish
The conclusion holds only given both conditions in the sentence, and given that the timing electronics measure the separation correctly.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “If the two measurement stations are far enough apart that neither can reach the other in time, correlations” The conclusion needs two conditions, not one: the paper states settings independence alongside the no-signalling condition. The separation is also defined by light speed, which the page did not say.
Claim 17 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: A 2018 experiment did this with entangled photons, extracting 1,024 bits uniform to within a part in a trillion.
- Kind
- Experimental result. What an experiment or trial found, under its own conditions. A result in animals, cells or a simulation is not a result in people.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1; p. 7
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: Here we present certified randomness obtained from a photonic Bell experiment and extract 1024 random bits uniform to within 10⁻¹². ... we extracted 1024 bits, certified to be uniform to within 10⁻¹²
Notation restored: Exponents restored as the arXiv PDF (1803.06219v1) sets them, checked from the glyph positions with pdftotext -bbox, 2026-09-24. The text as extracted reads: Here we present certified randomness obtained from a photonic Bell experiment and extract 1024 random bits uniform to within 10−12. ... we extracted 1024 bits, certified to be uniform to within 10−12
Qualifies
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 7; Methods, p. 9
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: We extracted 256 bits at ϵfin = 0.02 from the best data set, XOR 3 ... the settings choices for the XOR 3 data set were based on physical random sources.
What this does not establish
The figure is for the best of five data sets. The earlier data set run with physical random settings gave 256 bits uniform only to within 0.02.
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2018 on, "device-independent randomness generation": later experiments (Shalm and others, Nature Physics 2021; Kavuri and others, Nature 2025), records only; the 2018 figure stands for that experiment.
Claim 18 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Two kinds of unpredictable
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
Claim: A coin toss cannot be predicted in practice, beyond a slight lean toward the side it started on.
- Kind
- Experimental result. What an experiment or trial found, under its own conditions. A result in animals, cells or a simulation is not a result in people.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: evidence from 350,757 flipsabstract
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Research in people · Experiment
The source reads: the coins landed on the same side more often than not ... Pr(same side) = 0.508, 95% credible interval (CI) [ 0.506, 0.509]
What this does not establish
350,757 flips by 48 people. The bias varied between people and fell with practice.
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2018 on, "same-side bias coin flip": this 2025 study is the largest test found; nothing later.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “A coin toss cannot be predicted in practice.” A 2025 study of 350,757 flips found coins land on the side they started about 50.8 per cent of the time, as the physical model predicts.
Claim 20 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Ignorance of initial conditions.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: evidence from 350,757 flipsIntroduction, p. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Theory · Model
The source reads: the perceived randomness originates from small fluctuations in the initial conditions
What this does not establish
What the standard physical model of coin flipping says.
Claim 21 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: The physics is deterministic and a sufficiently detailed measurement would predict it.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: evidence from 350,757 flipsIntroduction, p. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Theory · Model
The source reads: a coin flip obeys the laws of Newtonian physics in a relatively transparent manner ... the flip is a deterministic process
What this does not establish
That a detailed enough measurement would predict a flip follows from the model; the study itself did not predict individual flips.
Claim 22 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Which detector a photon triggers cannot be predicted.
- Kind
- Observation. Something measured or seen, as the named source reports it.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: These random bits could not have been predicted within any physical theory that prohibits superluminal signaling and allows one to make independent measurement choices.
What this does not establish
Certified unpredictable under the experiment’s assumptions; whether it is undetermined in principle is the open question below.
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2018 on, "device-independent randomness generation": later photon experiments certify the same kind of outcome, records only; nothing that changes it.
Claim 23 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Either the same thing at a level nobody can see, or genuine indeterminacy.
- Kind
- Disputed. A contested point, where the page reports a side or the disagreement.
- Review
- A judgement, not a fact. Reviewed for whether it is fairly put and follows from the checked claims. No source can confirm it.
The two readings the poll offers as "hidden determinism" and "irreducible".
Context
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsQuestion 1 and commentary
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Research in people · Observational study: associations, not causes
The source reads: hidden variables, deterministic mechanisms underlying the occurrence of objective quantum events, and (as in the de Broglie–Bohm interpretation) the deterministic motion of physical constituents.
Context
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsQuestion 1, commentary
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: In the Everett interpretation, randomness is an apparent effect relative to a branching observer
Other readings
A third reading, the Everett one the page describes below, makes the randomness apparent without hidden variables.
Claim 24 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Quantum mechanics as standardly used gives only a probability for each detector.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Philosophical Issues in Quantum Theorysection 4.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: the rules for connecting quantum theory with experimental results typically involve nontrivial (that is, not equal to zero or one) probabilities assigned to experimental outcomes.
What this does not establish
What the theory predicts, not what underlies it: interpretations differ on whether the probabilities reflect indeterminacy.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “Standard quantum mechanics says the latter.” Which of the two readings is right is an interpretive question the page itself treats as open. What the standard theory does say is that it assigns probabilities to outcomes.
Claim 25 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Outputs that violate a Bell inequality.
- Kind
- Observation. Something measured or seen, as the named source reports it.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 7
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Physical systems · Experiment
The source reads: this indicates a violation of the Bell inequality and the presence of randomness in the data ... exceeded vthresh, and so the protocol passed
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2018 on, "loophole-free Bell": violations continue to be reported; nothing that changes it.
Claim 26 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Not fixed in advance by anything local.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 3
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Theory · Model
The source reads: LR distributions, which cannot be certified to contain randomness
What this does not establish
Given independent settings and no signalling between the stations.
Claim 27 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Unpredictability that does not depend on trusting the device.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: Since the assumptions do not constrain the specific physical realization of the devices and do not require specific states or measurements, they implement a “device-independent” framework
What this does not establish
The workings of the device are not trusted; its timing electronics, the computers and the independence of the settings still are.
Claim 28 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
What is left assumed
Claim: What is left assumed
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
Claim: Unpredictable to us, or unpredictable to anything.
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
Claim: The experiments reach the first and press on the second.
- Kind
- This page’s reading. A judgement the page makes from the evidence. Others read it differently.
- Review
- A judgement, not a fact. Reviewed for whether it is fairly put and follows from the checked claims. No source can confirm it.
The page’s reading. The paper certifies bits as unpredictable to any adversary limited only by general physical principles, which goes beyond "unpredictable to us", but under assumptions, so it presses on "unpredictable to anything" without reaching it.
Context
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: unpredictable to any adversary limited only by general physical principles
Claim 31 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Whether the universe is deterministic underneath
Claim: Whether the universe is deterministic underneath
- Kind
- Open question. Something the page says is not known.
- Review
- Presented as open. The page says this is unresolved, and the review found that it is.
Supports
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsabstract
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: the foundations of quantum mechanics themselves remain hotly debated in the scientific community, and no consensus on essential questions has been reached.
Claim 32 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Interpretations differ.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsabstract
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Research in people · Observational study: associations, not causes
The source reads: the foundations of quantum mechanics themselves remain hotly debated in the scientific community, and no consensus on essential questions has been reached.
Claim 33 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Some take the randomness as fundamental.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsQuestion 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Research in people · Observational study: associations, not causes
The source reads: Randomness is a fundamental concept in nature: 64%
What this does not establish
33 respondents at one conference; the authors say the poll is not representative.
Claim 34 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Some describe a deterministic evolution in which all outcomes occur and the apparent randomness is about which branch an observer finds themselves in.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsQuestion 1, commentary
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: In the Everett interpretation, randomness is an apparent effect relative to a branching observer, with the global wave function (containing all branches) evolving deterministically
Supports
Philosophical Issues in Quantum Theorysection 4.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: when it is certain that all possible outcomes will occur on some branch of the wavefunction
Claim 35 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: One keeps determinism by adding hidden variables and giving up locality.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsQuestion 1, commentary
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: hidden variables, deterministic mechanisms underlying the occurrence of objective quantum events, and (as in the de Broglie–Bohm interpretation) the deterministic motion of physical constituents.
Supports
Bell’s Theoremsection 1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: in this theory an explicit causal mechanism exists whereby the disposition of one piece of apparatus affects the results obtained with a distant piece
Claim 36 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: All of them agree with every experiment performed so far,
- Kind
- What the field holds. The settled view of a field, as a review, a consensus statement or a reference work gives it. Not one study.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Philosophical Issues in Quantum Theorysection 4.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: All of the above-mentioned approaches are consistent with observation. ... Extant hidden-variables theories reproduce the quantum probabilities, and collapse theories have the intriguing feature of reproducing very close approximations to quantum probabilities for all experiments that have been performed so far
Qualifies
Philosophical Issues in Quantum Theorysection 4.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: A criticism that has been raised against Everettian theories is that it is not clear whether they can even make sense of statistical testing of this kind
What this does not establish
The encyclopedia notes a criticism that it is unclear how Everettian theories make sense of statistical testing at all.
Later work looked for
Crossref, 2020 on, "experimental test collapse models": experiments continue to bound collapse models (for example levitated optomechanics, New Journal of Physics 2024), records only; no departure reported.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “All of them reproduce the same statistics,” Collapse theories, one way of taking the randomness as fundamental, reproduce the quantum statistics only approximately and depart from them in experiments not yet performed. "The same statistics" held only for experiments done.
Claim 37 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: so this is not a question the experiments above settle.
- Kind
- This page’s reading. A judgement the page makes from the evidence. Others read it differently.
- Review
- A judgement, not a fact. Reviewed for whether it is fairly put and follows from the checked claims. No source can confirm it.
Follows from claim 37: the Bell experiments do not distinguish the interpretations.
Context
Philosophical Issues in Quantum Theorysection 4.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: among the major lines of approach, none is favored in a straightforward way by the empirical evidence.
Claim 38 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: Collapse theories, one way of taking the randomness as fundamental, predict different statistics in experiments not yet performed.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Philosophical Issues in Quantum Theorysection 4.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: collapse theories have the intriguing feature of reproducing very close approximations to quantum probabilities for all experiments that have been performed so far but departing from the quantum probabilities for other conceivable experiments.
Supports
Philosophical Issues in Quantum Theorysection 4.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: a research programme of finding suitable indeterministic modifications of the quantum dynamics
What this does not establish
The departures are predicted, not observed: collapse theories match every experiment performed so far.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “” Added so that the claim that the interpretations are empirically equivalent is not stretched to collapse theories, which the Stanford Encyclopedia says can in principle be told apart by experiment.
Claim 39 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
What certification actually assumes
Claim: What certification actually assumes
- Kind
- Framing. Signposting. It asserts nothing a source could check.
Claim: It assumes that the experimenters’ choices of what to measure are independent of the system being measured.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: The bits are unpredictable assuming that (1) the choices of measurement settings are independent of the experimental devices and pre-existing classical information about them
Claim 41 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: A universe in which those choices were correlated with the particles could fake the result.
- Kind
- What a model says. What a theory or model predicts or describes, which is not the same as what has been observed.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Bell’s Theoremsection 8.1
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: Reject the measurement independence assumption. There are essentially two ways to do this. One is to suppose a common cause in the past that determines both experimental settings and experimental outcomes. ... This approach is often referred to as retrocausality. Both of these approaches have gained advocates in recent years.
What this does not establish
A logical possibility the argument cannot exclude, not a proposal the evidence favours.
Other readings
Superdeterminism and retrocausal accounts take this route, and the encyclopedia reports both have gained advocates.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “were correlated with the particles, however subtly, could fake the result.” No cited source says an arbitrarily small correlation suffices; the encyclopedia describes rejecting the independence assumption, not a threshold.
Claim 42 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: That assumption cannot be tested from inside.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
The 2018 authors’ own description of their first assumption.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: The first assumption is ultimately untestable, but the premise that it is possible to choose measurement settings independently of a system being measured is often tacitly invoked in the interpretation of many scientific experiments and laws of physics
Claim 43 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: It is the residue that every version of this argument leaves behind.
- Kind
- This page’s reading. A judgement the page makes from the evidence. Others read it differently.
- Review
- A judgement, not a fact. Reviewed for whether it is fairly put and follows from the checked claims. No source can confirm it.
The page’s reading. The encyclopedia names measurement independence as an assumption of the derivation, and quotes Bell saying he would not know how to formulate local causality without it.
Context
Bell’s Theoremsection 8.1.2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026 · Reference work
The source reads: we are invoking the Measurement Independence Assumption. ... Indeed without such freedom I would not know how to formulate any idea of local causality, even the modest human one
Claim 44 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: The rest of what is trusted is more ordinary and is stated in the paper: the timing electronics that verify the separation, the finality of a result once recorded, the classical computers that process the data.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 2
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: given our trust that the space-like separation of the relevant events in the experiment is accurately verified by the timing electronics and that results are final when recorded. We also trust that the classical computing equipment used to process the data operates according to specification.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 3
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: If Eve has quantum memory, it is possible to ensure that Eve’s side information is effectively classical by verifying that the devices have no long-term quantum memory of past interactions with Eve. While this introduces weak device-dependence
What this does not establish
The paper also assumes no signalling between the stations, which the page gives earlier, and, against an adversary with quantum memory, that the devices keep none.
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “the clocks that establish the separation, the classical computers that process the data.” The paper names timing electronics rather than clocks, and also trusts that results are final when recorded, which the list left out.
Claim 45 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: In the run that produced the 1,024 bits the settings came from a standard pseudorandom generator, which the authors call predictable and unsuitable against an adversary.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsMethods, p. 9
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: Alice and Bob each used Python’s random.py module with the default generator (the Mersenne twister) to pick their settings at each trial. This pseudorandom source is predictable, and for secure applications of the protocol in an adversarial scenario
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsMethods, p. 9
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: settings choices must be based on random sources that are effectively not predictable.
Qualifies
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsp. 7; Methods, p. 9
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: We extracted 256 bits at ϵfin = 0.02 from the best data set, XOR 3 ... the settings choices for the XOR 3 data set were based on physical random sources.
What this does not establish
The earlier data set that yielded 256 bits did use physical random sources for its settings.
Claim 46 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
Claim: They argue that their devices had no physical means of predicting it.
- Kind
- What scholars argue. A report of what specialists argue, or where they disagree.
- Review
- Source checked. The cited passage was read, and it says this.
Supports
Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsMethods, p. 9
Cited · Link answered, 19 October 2026 · Read in full, 24 September 2026
The source reads: we know that our devices have no physical resources for predicting pseudo-random numbers and expect that measurement settings were effectively independent of relevant devices
Corrected
24 September 2026. Previously: “” The page reported the authors’ warning about the pseudorandom settings but not their reason for trusting this run, which is on the same page of Methods.
Claim 47 · checked 24 September 2026 · AI-assisted audit
What was read
- Experimentally generated randomness certified by the impossibility of superluminal signalsBierhorst and others, Nature · arXiv:1803.06219v1 (22 February 2018), the submitted manuscript of Nature 556, 223-226; main text and Methods read in full, Supplementary Information not readRead in full, 24 September 2026 · Copyright; quoted briefly
- A snapshot of foundational attitudes toward quantum mechanicsSchlosshauer, Kofler and Zeilinger, Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics · arXiv:1301.1069v1 (6 January 2013); read in fullRead in full, 24 September 2026 · Copyright; quoted briefly
- Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started: evidence from 350,757 flipsBartoš and others, Journal of the American Statistical Association · arXiv:2310.04153v4 (17 April 2025), the manuscript of the Journal of the American Statistical Association article (published August 2025); abstract, introduction, methods and results readRead in full, 24 September 2026 · Copyright; quoted briefly
- The three-dimensional dynamics of the die throwKapitaniak, Strzalko, Grabski and Kapitaniak, Chaos · Crossref record and abstract, Chaos 22, 047504Abstract only, 24 September 2026 · Copyright; quoted brieflyNo open copy found through unpaywall; the article was not read.
- Philosophical Issues in Quantum TheoryMyrvold, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy · Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, substantive revision of 23 March 2022; sections 4 and 5 readRead in full, 24 September 2026 · Copyright; quoted briefly
- Bell’s TheoremMyrvold, Genovese and Shimony, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy · Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, substantive revision of 25 January 2024; sections 1, 2 and 8 readRead in full, 24 September 2026 · Copyright; quoted briefly